Three-Year Political Study of Movie Box Office Signals Trump/GOP Victory in 2020
A three-year study of domestic box office results for movies with conservative values versus movies with liberal/leftist values could signal a Trump/GOP victory at the polls in November.
MOVIEGUIDE®: The Family Guide to Movies and Entertainment analyzed the content of 830 theatrical movies released during the first three years of President Trump’s first term. It found that 280 movies contained strong conservative, pro-capitalist and/or patriotic content and values promoting American ideals, and 301 movies contained strong liberal/leftist content and values attacking or undermining American ideals, patriotism or capitalism.
The movies with conservative values averaged more than $78.46 million per movie at the box office in North America and Canada, more than 318% more money than movies with liberal/leftist values, which averaged less than $18.76 million per movie.
“This seems to signal a Trump/GOP victory in November,” says MOVIEGUIDE® Editor Tom Snyder, who has a PhD in Film Studies and Communications at Northwestern University, “but, as everyone knows, anything can happen in a presidential election year.
Snyder noted, however, that in 2015 and 2016, an increase in the margin of victory for movies with strong conservative content signaled Trump’s upset victory over Hillary Clinton.
Political Content, 2017-2019
| Content | Count | Total B.O. | Avg. B.O. |
| All Conservative/Moral Categories | 280 | $21,969,417,465 | $78,462,205 |
| All Liberal/Leftist/Immoral Categories | 301 | $5,646,626,845 | $18,759,558 |
The movies with strong conservative content included such movies as TOY STORY 4, AVENGERS: ENDGAME, OVERCOMER, BREAKTHROUGH, MIDWAY, STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER, APOLLO 11, THE LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART, LITTLE WOMEN (2019), 1917, A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD, INCREDIBLES 2, FORD V. FERRARI, A HIDDEN LIFE, HARRIET, DUMBO, SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME, JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM, MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – FALLOUT, SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY, A QUIET PLACE, RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET, PETER RABBIT, LITTLE PINK HOUSE, DEATH OF A NATION, CARS 3, WONDER WOMAN, DESPICABLE ME 3, DUNKIRK, JUSTICE LEAGUE, DARKEST HOUR, THE BOSS BABY, STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI, THE LEGO BATMAN MOVIE, WONDER, THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS, and BITTER HARVEST.
The movies with strong liberal/leftist content included such movies as JOKER, IT CHAPTER TWO, SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK, PARASITE, THE TWO POPES, QUEEN & SLIM, DOWNTON ABBEY, ALL IS TRUE, BOOKSMART, AT WAR, COLD PURSUIT, ROCKETMAN, ON THE BASIS OF SEX, DEADPOOL 2, ASSASSINATION NATION, COLETTE, VICE, SORRY TO BOTHER YOU, THE FIRST PURGE, WINCHESTER, WOMAN WALKS AHEAD, RBG, BLACKKKLANSMAN, DISOBEDIENCE, BEAUTY AND THE BEAST, IT, WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES, GET OUT, THE SHAPE OF WATER, THE POST, SUBURBICON, CALL ME BY YOUR NAME, BAYWATCH, and AN INCONVENIENT SEQUEL.
© Ted Baehr, MOVIEGUIDE®.
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